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31 Oct 2007 Since last month, longer-term interest rates have increased with little movement in short rates, increasing the slope of the yield curve. Projecting forward using past values of the spread and GDP growth suggests that real  The ECB estimates zero-coupon yield curves and derives forward and par yield curves Site: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/exchange-and-interest-rates. 27 Mar 2000 We show that the downward slope is the result of interest rate volatility. slope of the forward rate curve predicts the volatility of long term rates